Comparison Between ARIMA And Fourier ARIMA Model To Forecast The Demand Of Electricity In Sulaimani Governorate

Botan Karim Ahmed; Sham Azad Rahim; Bestan Bahaalddin Maaroof; Hindreen Abdullah Taher

doi:10.25212/lfu.qzj.5.3.36

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Published Sep 30, 2020

DOI https://doi.org/10.25212/lfu.qzj.5.3.36

Botan Karim Ahmed

Department of Information technology, College of Commerce, University of Sulaimani, Sulaimani, Iraq

Sham Azad Rahim

Department of Statistics and Computer, College of Commerce, University of Sulaimani, Sulaimani, Iraq

Bestan Bahaalddin Maaroof

Department of Information technology, College of commerce, University of Sulaimani, Sulaimani, Iraq

Hindreen Abdullah Taher

Department of Statistics and Computer, College of Commerce, University of Sulaimani, Sulaimani, Iraq

Abstract

Electric energy is accounted as one of the major goods in human life, and also have a great role in progressing and developing the several sectors as economics, manufactures and any other sector related to daily use. In this study the monthly demand of electricity in Sulaimani governorate have been used, the main goal of the study is to choose appropriate model to forecast the monthly demand of electric in Sulaimani governorate for 12 months in 2020, the analyzing,results and comparison shows that FSARIMA(0,0,0)x(2,1,0)4 is appropriate model for this mission of forecasting which has minimum AIC among the other candidate models that equal to 0.28

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Vol. 5 No. 3 (2020)

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Articles

How to Cite

Botan Karim Ahmed, Sham Azad Rahim, Bestan Bahaalddin Maaroof, & Hindreen Abdullah Taher. (2020). Comparison Between ARIMA And Fourier ARIMA Model To Forecast The Demand Of Electricity In Sulaimani Governorate. QALAAI ZANIST SCIENTIFIC JOURNAL, 5(3), 908–940. https://doi.org/10.25212/lfu.qzj.5.3.36